· Analysis updated 09:24 UTC
Panionios vs Olympiakos Piraeus II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Panionios and 0.76 for Olympiakos Piraeus II, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives Panionios the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Panionios win
62.4% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.76
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Panionios home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Olympiakos Piraeus II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.9%
- 2–012.6%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–07.7%
Recent form
Panionios
- 2026-10-19T11:45:00.000Z · A vs Niki Volos · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-12T11:45:00.000Z · H vs PAOK II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T11:45:00.000Z · A vs Pyrgos 1968 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zakynthos · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Anagennisi Karditsas · 0-0 (D)
Olympiakos Piraeus II
- 2026-09-27T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Panserraikos · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Marko · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Niki Volos · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PAOK II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Panionios · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-10T15:30:00.000Z · Panionios 3-0 Olympiakos Piraeus II (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-03-21T13:00:00.000Z · Panionios 3-0 Olympiakos Piraeus II (Super League 2)
- 2026-03-01T13:00:00.000Z · Panionios 1-2 Olympiakos Piraeus II (Super League 2)
- 2025-12-03T13:00:00.000Z · Panionios 4-1 Olympiakos Piraeus II (Super League 2)
- 2025-09-14T14:00:00.000Z · Panionios 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus II (Super League 2)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Panionios win, at 62.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.