Algeria · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2815:00

5 – 3

Thursday, 7 May 2026

20 August 1955 Stadium · Analysis updated 21:41 UTC

Paradou AC vs CS Constantine Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Paradou AC vs CS Constantine in the Ligue 1: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • CS Constantine away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Paradou AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Paradou AC and 1.18 for CS Constantine, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Paradou AC win44%
Draw26%
CS Constantine win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Paradou AC

    CS Constantine

    • 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs ES Setif · 1-5 (L)
    • 2026-09-12T20:00:00.000Z · H vs ASO Chlef · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · A vs JS Saoura · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-19T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Khenchela · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-05-07T15:00:00.000Z · Paradou AC 5-3 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
    • 2025-12-19T16:00:00.000Z · Paradou AC 0-2 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
    • 2025-03-14T21:00:00.000Z · Paradou AC 2-0 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
    • 2024-10-19T15:00:00.000Z · Paradou AC 1-2 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
    • 2024-04-06T21:00:00.000Z · Paradou AC 1-2 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
    • 2023-11-24T14:15:00.000Z · Paradou AC 0-0 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
    • 2023-04-18T14:45:00.000Z · Paradou AC 0-1 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
    • 2023-02-16T13:30:00.000Z · Paradou AC 2-0 CS Constantine (Coupe Nationale)
    • 2022-09-17T15:30:00.000Z · Paradou AC 0-1 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
    • 2022-04-01T14:00:00.000Z · Paradou AC 0-1 CS Constantine (Ligue 1)
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1MC Oran6420514
    2CR Belouizdad6420414
    3JS Kabylie6411713
    4MB Rouisset7412313
    5USM Alger6321311
    6Olympique Akbou6312310
    7JS El Biar722318
    8Témouchent7223-38
    9MC Alger321037
    10Ben Aknoun614107
    11CS Constantine7214-47
    12ES Setif612315
    13Khenchela6123-35
    14ASO Chlef7043-54
    15JS Saoura6033-63
    16US Biskra6024-92

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.