· Analysis updated 16:42 UTC
Pardubice U19 vs Mladá Boleslav U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Pardubice U19 and 2.25 for Mladá Boleslav U19, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Mladá Boleslav U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Mladá Boleslav U19 win
50.5% probability
Expected goals
1.70 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pardubice U19 home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mladá Boleslav U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mladá Boleslav U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 29% / 20% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Pardubice U19 and 2.25 for Mladá Boleslav U19, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.3%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.0%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.2%
Recent form
Pardubice U19
- 2026-09-26T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-2 (L)
Mladá Boleslav U19
- 2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlín U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hradec Králové U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Opava U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Teplice U19 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Dukla Praha U19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Praha U19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Pardubice U19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Slovácko U19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Karviná U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 15 | Zlín U19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 16 | Slavia Praha U19 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mladá Boleslav U19 win, at 50.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.