· Analysis updated 22:30 UTC
Pardubice U19 vs Sparta Praha U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.93 expected goals for Pardubice U19 and 2.75 for Sparta Praha U19, a combined total of 5.68. That distribution gives Pardubice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 88% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.4% probability
Expected goals
2.93 – 2.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pardubice U19 home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sparta Praha U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pardubice U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 17% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.93 goals for Pardubice U19 and 2.75 for Sparta Praha U19, a combined 5.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–25.5%
- 3–25.4%
- 2–35.1%
- 3–35.0%
- 2–14.0%
Recent form
Pardubice U19
- 2026-09-26T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-2 (L)
Sparta Praha U19
- 2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-01T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hradec Králové U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Opava U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Teplice U19 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Dukla Praha U19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Praha U19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Pardubice U19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Slovácko U19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Karviná U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 15 | Zlín U19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 16 | Slavia Praha U19 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 88% and over 2.5 goals at 92%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.