· Analysis updated 20:18 UTC
Pardubice U19 vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for Pardubice U19 and 2.64 for Viktoria Plzeň U19, a combined total of 3.98. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viktoria Plzeň U19 win
65.3% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 2.64
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pardubice U19 home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Viktoria Plzeň U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Plzeň U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 18% / 17% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for Pardubice U19 and 2.64 for Viktoria Plzeň U19, a combined 3.98 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
35%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.7%
- 1–37.7%
- 1–16.6%
- 0–26.5%
- 2–25.8%
Recent form
Pardubice U19
- 2026-09-26T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-2 (L)
Viktoria Plzeň U19
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hradec Králové U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Opava U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Teplice U19 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Dukla Praha U19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Praha U19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Pardubice U19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Slovácko U19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Karviná U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 15 | Zlín U19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 16 | Slavia Praha U19 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň U19 win, at 65.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.