Pardubice U19 vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Pardubice U19 and 2.31 for Zbrojovka Brno U19, a combined total of 4.41. That distribution gives Zbrojovka Brno U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.10 – 2.31

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Pardubice U19 home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zbrojovka Brno U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zbrojovka Brno U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 36% / 20% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for Pardubice U19 and 2.31 for Zbrojovka Brno U19, a combined 4.41 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Pardubice U19 win36%

Draw20%

Zbrojovka Brno U19 win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals82%

Over 3.5 goals64%

Both teams to score79%

Correct score

2–27.1%
1–26.8%
2–16.2%
1–15.9%
2–35.5%

Recent form

Pardubice U19

2026-09-26T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 6-2 (W)
2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-2 (L)

Zbrojovka Brno U19

2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko U19 · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Zlín U19 · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hradec Králové U19	9	5	3	1	13	18
2	Opava U19	8	5	1	2	10	16
3	Mladá Boleslav U19	8	5	1	2	8	16
4	Sigma Olomouc U19	8	5	1	2	6	16
5	Teplice U19	9	5	1	3	2	16
6	Baník Ostrava U19	7	5	0	2	-1	15
7	Dukla Praha U19	8	4	2	2	4	14
8	Viktoria Plzeň U19	6	4	1	1	14	13
9	Zbrojovka Brno U19	8	3	2	3	1	11
10	České Budějovice U19	7	3	1	3	4	10
11	Sparta Praha U19	7	3	0	4	2	9
12	Pardubice U19	10	2	2	6	-8	8
13	Slovácko U19	8	2	1	5	-8	7
14	Karviná U19	8	2	0	6	-16	6
15	Zlín U19	9	1	1	7	-18	4
16	Slavia Praha U19	8	0	3	5	-13	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.