Paris FC vs Angers Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Paris FC and 0.95 for Angers, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Paris FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Paris FC win

55.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Paris FC home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Paris FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 24% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Paris FC and 0.95 for Angers, a combined 2.68 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Paris FC win56%

Draw24%

Angers win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–011.9%
1–111.3%
2–010.3%
2–19.7%
0–06.9%

Recent form

Paris FC

2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Lorient · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-19T15:15:00.000Z · H vs Strasbourg · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Lyon · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-06T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Marseille · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nice · 3-0 (W)

Angers

2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Stade Brestois 29 · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-19T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Estac Troyes · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Le Havre · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-06T15:15:00.000Z · H vs Rennes · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-29T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Auxerre · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	4	2	0	5	14
2	Lille	6	4	1	1	5	13
3	Rennes	6	4	1	1	2	13
4	Lyon	6	3	2	1	7	11
5	Paris FC	6	3	2	1	4	11
6	Paris Saint Germain	6	3	2	1	3	11
7	Stade Brestois 29	6	2	2	2	3	8
8	Lorient	6	2	2	2	0	8
9	Nice	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Lens	6	2	1	3	1	7
11	Strasbourg	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Angers	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Marseille	6	2	0	4	1	6
14	Le Mans	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Toulouse	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Auxerre	6	2	0	4	-8	6
17	Estac Troyes	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Le Havre	6	0	2	4	-4	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Paris FC win, at 55.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.