· Analysis updated 17:46 UTC
Parndorf vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for Parndorf and 2.33 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, a combined total of 4.78. That distribution gives Parndorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.6% probability
Expected goals
2.45 – 2.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Parndorf home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.8%
- 2–15.9%
- 3–25.6%
- 1–25.6%
- 2–35.3%
Recent form
Parndorf
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiener SC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Favoritner AC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oberwart · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Traiskirchen · 1-3 (L)
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
- 2026-10-02T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Favoritner AC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oberwart · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Traiskirchen · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Horn · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloggnitz · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · Parndorf 1-4 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2026-05-29T17:00:00.000Z · Parndorf 2-1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-11-14T18:00:00.000Z · Parndorf 2-1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2019-05-31T17:00:00.000Z · Parndorf 1-1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2018-11-03T15:00:00.000Z · Parndorf 2-2 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2018-03-16T18:00:00.000Z · Parndorf 2-0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2017-08-25T17:30:00.000Z · Parndorf 3-3 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2017-04-07T17:00:00.000Z · Parndorf 1-3 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2016-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · Parndorf 4-2 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Wiener SC | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Oberwart | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Traiskirchen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Wiener Viktoria | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Krems / Rehberg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Fach-Donaufeld | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Scheiblingkirchen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Leobendorf | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Parndorf | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Favoritner AC | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Gloggnitz | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Donau | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | SV Horn | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -33 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.