Heidebodenstadion · Analysis updated 15:03 UTC
Parndorf vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Parndorf and 3.00 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Wolfsberger AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wolfsberger AC win
58.4% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Parndorf home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wolfsberger AC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wolfsberger AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 25% / 17% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Parndorf and 3.00 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.1%
- 1–36.1%
- 2–26.1%
- 2–36.1%
- 1–44.5%
Recent form
Parndorf
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiener SC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Favoritner AC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oberwart · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Traiskirchen · 1-3 (L)
Wolfsberger AC
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Ried · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Rapid Vienna · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Parndorf · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-01T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Lask Linz · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Grazer AK · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wolfsberger AC win, at 58.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.