Mestský štadión Partizán Bardejov · Analysis updated 14:13 UTC
Partizán Bardejov vs Slovan Giraltovce Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Partizán Bardejov and 1.28 for Slovan Giraltovce, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Partizán Bardejov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Partizán Bardejov win
49.7% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Partizán Bardejov home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slovan Giraltovce away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Partizán Bardejov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 23% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Partizán Bardejov and 1.28 for Slovan Giraltovce, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–26.8%
Recent form
Partizán Bardejov
- 2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Sabinov · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Poprad · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lipany · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotíva Košice · 1-2 (L)
Slovan Giraltovce
- 2026-08-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Partizán Bardejov · 2-6 (L)
- 2023-06-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lipany · 0-2 (L)
- 2023-06-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oravské Veselé · 2-0 (W)
- 2023-05-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Svidník · 0-0 (D)
- 2023-05-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fiľakovo · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotíva Košice | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | Stará Ľubovňa | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | Spartak Medzev | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Raslavice | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Partizán Bardejov | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Spišská Nová Ves | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Lipany | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
| 8 | MSK Tesla Stropkov | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Poprad | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Slávia TU Košice | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Snina | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | Vranov nad Topľou | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 |
| 13 | Slovan Sabinov | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 14 | Kežmarok | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Partizán Bardejov win, at 49.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.