Partizán Bardejov vs Vranov nad Topľou Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Partizán Bardejov and 3.00 for Vranov nad Topľou, a combined total of 7.50. That distribution gives Partizán Bardejov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 94% for over 2.5 goals and 90% for both teams to score, with 4–2 the single most likely scoreline at 4%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Partizán Bardejov win

62.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

4.50 – 3.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Partizán Bardejov home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vranov nad Topľou away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Partizán Bardejov win63%

Draw14%

Vranov nad Topľou win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals94%

Over 3.5 goals90%

Both teams to score90%

Correct score

4–24.3%
4–34.3%
5–23.8%
5–33.8%
3–23.8%

Recent form

Partizán Bardejov

2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Sabinov · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Poprad · 4-3 (W)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lipany · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Lokomotíva Košice · 1-2 (L)

Vranov nad Topľou

2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Sabinov · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-14T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Partizán Bardejov · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Košice · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kežmarok · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · Partizán Bardejov 1-2 Vranov nad Topľou (3. liga - East)
2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · Partizán Bardejov 1-2 Vranov nad Topľou (Cup)
2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · Partizán Bardejov 4-1 Vranov nad Topľou (Cup)
2025-03-01T13:30:00.000Z · Partizán Bardejov 1-4 Vranov nad Topľou (3. liga - East)
2024-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · Partizán Bardejov 1-3 Vranov nad Topľou (3. liga - East)
2024-05-04T15:00:00.000Z · Partizán Bardejov 0-2 Vranov nad Topľou (3. liga - East)
2023-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · Partizán Bardejov 0-6 Vranov nad Topľou (3. liga - East)
2023-03-04T13:00:00.000Z · Partizán Bardejov 1-2 Vranov nad Topľou (3. liga - East)
2022-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · Partizán Bardejov 1-1 Vranov nad Topľou (3. liga - East)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Partizán Bardejov win, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 90% and over 2.5 goals at 94%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.