Belgium · Challenger Pro League · Matchweek 114:00
Patro EisdenWLLLL

2 – 1

Saturday, 15 August 2026

Patrostadion · Referee R. Calluy · Analysis updated 12:41 UTC

Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Patro Eisden and 1.20 for RSC Anderlecht II, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives Patro Eisden the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Patro Eisden win

54.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Patro Eisden home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • RSC Anderlecht II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Patro Eisden to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 22% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.95 goals for Patro Eisden and 1.20 for RSC Anderlecht II, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Patro Eisden win55%
Draw22%
RSC Anderlecht II win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 3–16.3%

Recent form

Patro Eisden

  • 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Roeselare Daisel · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Dender · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T17:15:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Beerschot VA · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge II · 1-2 (L)

RSC Anderlecht II

  • 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Francs Borains · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lokeren-Temse · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs KAA Gent II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Beerschot VA · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Challenger Pro League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Beerschot VA76011218
2Dender7601918
3AS Eupen6501815
4Francs Borains6402212
5Sporting Hasselt7403-212
6Excelsior Virton6312510
7Lokeren-Temse6312210
8K. Lierse S.K.6222-18
9Club Brugge II6222-28
10KAA Gent II6222-28
11KRC Genk II7214-37
12Patro Eisden7205-46
13Liège7124-75
14Seraing United7025-72
15RSC Anderlecht II7016-101

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Patro Eisden win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.