Thailand · Thai League 2 · Final11:00

2 – 1

Saturday, 23 May 2026

Rainbow Stadium · Analysis updated 17:18 UTC

Pattani vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Pattani vs Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thai League 2: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Nong Bua Pitchaya away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Pattani to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Pattani and 1.18 for Nong Bua Pitchaya, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Pattani or Nong Bua Pitchaya yet, so these numbers are a Thai League 2 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Pattani win44%
Draw26%
Nong Bua Pitchaya win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Pattani

    Nong Bua Pitchaya

    • 2026-10-21T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Bangkok · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Nakhon Pathom · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-10-14T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Chiangmai United · 3-1 (W)
    • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Chanthaburi · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Satun · 4-3 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Thai League 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Khon Kaen United8602818
    2Uttaradit8431515
    3Nong Bua Pitchaya8422614
    4Satun8422514
    5Kanchanaburi8341513
    6Chainat8413-113
    7Nakhon Ratchasima FC8332212
    8Chiangmai United8323111
    9Phrae United8323011
    10Chanthaburi8242310
    11Police Tero7313010
    12Nakhon Pathom8242-310
    13Muang Loei United823319
    14Muangthong United7223-38
    15Esan Pattaya8224-88
    16Songkhla8143-27
    17Mahasarakham United8044-94
    18Kasetsart FC8116-104

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.