· Analysis updated 01:20 UTC
Paysandu PA U20 vs América RN U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Paysandu PA U20 and 1.33 for América RN U20, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Paysandu PA U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Paysandu PA U20 win
53.9% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Paysandu PA U20 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
América RN U20 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Paysandu PA U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 21% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Paysandu PA U20 and 1.33 for América RN U20, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 1–19.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–07.0%
- 3–16.5%
Recent form
Paysandu PA U20
- 2026-10-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs América RN U20 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs América RN U20 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Independente-AP U20 · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Macapá U20 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Internacional U20 · 0-2 (L)
América RN U20
- 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Paysandu PA U20 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Piauí U20 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs QFC U20 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-01-16T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Grêmio U20 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-01-14T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mirassol U20 · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Paysandu PA U20 win, at 53.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.