MBPJ Stadium · Analysis updated 06:18 UTC
Pdrm vs Imigresen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Pdrm and 2.15 for Imigresen, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Imigresen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Imigresen win
55.2% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 2.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pdrm home form
2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Imigresen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Imigresen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 24% / 21% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Pdrm and 2.15 for Imigresen, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.4%
- 1–18.7%
- 0–26.8%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–26.4%
Recent form
Pdrm
- 2026-05-17T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Selangor · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-05-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Penang · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-02T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Sabah FA · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-04-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Imigresen · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-04-12T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Kuching FA · 1-4 (L)
Imigresen
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kelantan Red Warrior FC · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Selangor · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Selangor · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Terengganu · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kedah · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 18 |
| 2 | Selangor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Kuching FA | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | DPMM FC Brunei | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Sabah FA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Melaka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Kuala Lumpur FA | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 6 |
| 8 | Negeri Sembilan | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Terengganu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Imigresen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Penang | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Kelantan Red Warrior FC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -23 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Imigresen win, at 55.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.