· Analysis updated 04:10 UTC
Pélican vs Bitam Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Pélican and 1.22 for Bitam, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Pélican the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pélican win
51.3% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.22
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pélican home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Bitam away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pélican to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 23% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Pélican and 1.22 for Bitam, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–07.9%
- 1–26.5%
Recent form
Pélican
- 2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bouenguidi · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dikaki · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bitam · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Cercle Mbéri · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Oyem AC · 1-2 (L)
Bitam
- 2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-06-24T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-21T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dikaki · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pélican win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.