Perak Stadium · Analysis updated 12:47 UTC
Perak vs Kuala Lumpur FA Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Perak and 1.07 for Kuala Lumpur FA, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Perak the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.0% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Perak home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kuala Lumpur FA away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Perak to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 29% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Perak and 1.07 for Kuala Lumpur FA, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–111.3%
- 0–010.6%
- 2–17.8%
Recent form
Perak
- 2026-09-09T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-01T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuala Lumpur FA · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-03-11T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Sabah FA · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-03-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sabah FA · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-02-13T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Damansara · 3-2 (W)
Kuala Lumpur FA
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Melaka · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:15:00.000Z · H vs DPMM FC Brunei · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:15:00.000Z · A vs DPMM FC Brunei · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Selangor · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T12:15:00.000Z · H vs Perak · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
FA Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 |
| 2 | Selangor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Kuching FA | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 |
| 4 | DPMM FC Brunei | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Imigresen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Penang | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 7 | Kuala Lumpur FA | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Kelantan City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Terengganu | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Negeri Sembilan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sabah FA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Perak | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Kedah | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Kelantan Red Warrior FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | Melaka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Damansara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -13 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.