Gelora Bandung Lautan Api Stadium · Analysis updated 13:39 UTC
Persib Bandung vs Tampines Rovers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Persib Bandung and 0.63 for Tampines Rovers, a combined total of 2.07. That distribution gives Persib Bandung the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Persib Bandung win
56.5% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 0.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Persib Bandung home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tampines Rovers away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Persib Bandung to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 27% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Persib Bandung and 0.63 for Tampines Rovers, a combined 2.07 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.1%
- 2–013.0%
- 0–012.6%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.3%
Recent form
Persib Bandung
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Persijap · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Seoul · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Persija · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs PSM Makassar · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-31T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Manila Digger · 1-0 (W)
Tampines Rovers
- 2026-09-17T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Shanghai Shenhua · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Balestier Khalsa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Persib Bandung · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-28T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Arema FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs DPMM FC Brunei · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-31T12:30:00.000Z · Persib Bandung 1-0 Tampines Rovers (Piala Presiden)
Piala Presiden table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Arema FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Tampines Rovers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | DPMM FC Brunei | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 1 | Persebaya Surabaya | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Persija | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Port FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | PSMS Medan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Persib Bandung win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.