Persik Kediri vs Persita Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Persik Kediri and 1.30 for Persita, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Persik Kediri the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Persik Kediri home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Persita away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Persik Kediri win37%

Draw26%

Persita win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–112.6%
0–19.7%
1–09.7%
1–28.2%
2–18.2%

Recent form

Persik Kediri

2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Persib Bandung · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-09T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Persepam Madura Utd · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-18T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Arema FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Garudayaksa · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Dewa United · 0-1 (L)

Persita

2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs PSM Makassar · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Java United · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · A vs PSIM Yogyakarta · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Persis Solo · 1-3 (L)
2026-05-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Java United · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-04-19T08:30:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 1-0 Persita (Liga 1)
2025-12-21T08:30:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 0-3 Persita (Liga 1)
2025-02-07T08:30:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 0-1 Persita (Liga 1)
2024-09-18T08:30:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 1-0 Persita (Liga 1)
2024-04-20T08:00:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 1-1 Persita (Liga 1)
2023-10-08T12:00:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 2-2 Persita (Liga 1)
2023-03-24T13:30:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 3-1 Persita (Liga 1)
2022-07-25T11:15:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 0-2 Persita (Liga 1)
2022-03-15T11:15:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 1-1 Persita (Liga 1)
2021-12-03T08:15:00.000Z · Persik Kediri 2-0 Persita (Liga 1)

Liga 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Persija	6	5	0	1	10	15
2	Dewa United	6	4	2	0	6	14
3	Persepam Madura Utd	6	4	1	1	4	13
4	Bali United	6	4	0	2	12	12
5	Persita	5	3	2	0	3	11
6	Bhayangkara FC	6	2	4	0	3	10
7	Persik Kediri	6	3	1	2	3	10
8	Persib Bandung	6	3	1	2	2	10
9	Persebaya Surabaya	6	2	3	1	1	9
10	PSM Makassar	6	2	2	2	-3	8
11	Java United	7	2	3	2	0	7
12	Arema FC	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Pusamania Borneo	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Garudayaksa	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	PSS Sleman	6	1	1	4	-2	4
16	Isenmulang Kalteng	7	1	2	4	-9	3
17	PSIM Yogyakarta	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Persijap	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.