Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia · Analysis updated 13:20 UTC
Pescara vs Vis Pesaro Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.21 expected goals for Pescara and 1.02 for Vis Pesaro, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Pescara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pescara win
64.3% probability
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pescara home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vis Pesaro away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pescara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 19% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.21 goals for Pescara and 1.02 for Vis Pesaro, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.6%
- 1–18.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–17.3%
Recent form
Pescara
- 2026-10-23T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Perugia · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Ostia Mare · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Livorno · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Spezia · 1-2 (L)
Vis Pesaro
- 2026-09-27T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-21T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Spezia · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Reggiana · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Forli · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostia Mare · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie C - Girone B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Pescara | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Reggiana | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Livorno | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Perugia | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Vado | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Torres | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Pineto | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Latina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta II | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Campobasso FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Forli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 | Ostia Mare | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Pianese | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 7 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pescara win, at 64.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.