Petare FC vs Mineros de Guyana Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Petare FC and 0.78 for Mineros de Guyana, a combined total of 1.70. That distribution gives Petare FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

71.1% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.93 – 0.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Petare FC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mineros de Guyana away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Petare FC win37%

Draw34%

Mineros de Guyana win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

66%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals51%

Over 2.5 goals24%

Over 3.5 goals9%

Both teams to score33%

Correct score

0–018.3%
1–016.9%
0–114.2%
1–113.1%
2–07.8%

Recent form

Petare FC

2026-10-18T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Monagas II · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-11T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz · 4-2 (W)
2026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Avila FC · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-04T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Mineros de Guyana · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-26T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Marítimo · 3-0 (W)

Mineros de Guyana

2026-10-21T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Carabobo FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Marítimo · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Bolívar · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-11T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Aragua FC · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-07T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Monagas SC · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-16T19:30:00.000Z · Petare FC 4-3 Mineros de Guyana (Segunda División)
2026-05-16T19:30:00.000Z · Petare FC 2-0 Mineros de Guyana (Segunda División)
2026-03-22T20:00:00.000Z · Petare FC 0-0 Mineros de Guyana (Segunda División)
2025-09-27T19:30:00.000Z · Petare FC 6-1 Mineros de Guyana (Segunda División)
2025-08-16T20:00:00.000Z · Petare FC 2-2 Mineros de Guyana (Segunda División)
2025-06-22T19:30:00.000Z · Petare FC 0-0 Mineros de Guyana (Segunda División)
2025-05-04T20:00:00.000Z · Petare FC 0-0 Mineros de Guyana (Segunda División)
2016-08-07T19:35:00.000Z · Petare FC 0-0 Mineros de Guyana (Primera División)
2016-03-06T21:30:00.000Z · Petare FC 1-6 Mineros de Guyana (Primera División)
2015-11-04T23:30:00.000Z · Petare FC 0-4 Mineros de Guyana (Primera División)

Segunda División table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Lara	32	21	7	4	32	70
2	Fundación Lara Deportiva	31	15	8	8	18	53
3	Yaracuyanos FC	31	15	7	9	18	52
4	Urena SC	32	12	12	8	3	48
5	Atletico el Vigia FC	32	12	8	12	-9	44
6	Zamora FC B	30	11	7	12	0	40
7	Club Atletico Barinas	31	10	5	16	-9	35
8	Puerto Cabello II	32	9	7	16	-10	34
9	Real Frontera	31	4	3	24	-43	15
1	Monagas II	24	13	6	5	12	45
2	Petare FC	25	12	5	8	9	41
3	Aragua FC	25	10	10	5	9	40
4	Bolívar	25	12	4	9	0	40
5	Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz	26	9	9	8	3	36
6	Mineros de Guyana	25	4	9	12	-10	21
7	Marítimo	15	5	5	5	0	20
8	Atletico Avila FC	25	1	10	14	-23	13

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 24%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.