Petřín Plzeň vs Jiskra Domažlice II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.78 expected goals for Petřín Plzeň and 1.14 for Jiskra Domažlice II, a combined total of 3.92. That distribution gives Petřín Plzeň the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Petřín Plzeň win

71.5% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.78 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Petřín Plzeň home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Jiskra Domažlice II away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Petřín Plzeň to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 15% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.78 goals for Petřín Plzeň and 1.14 for Jiskra Domažlice II, a combined 3.92 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Petřín Plzeň win72%

Draw15%

Jiskra Domažlice II win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

28%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

2–18.7%
3–18.1%
2–07.7%
3–07.1%
1–16.3%

Recent form

Petřín Plzeň

2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Strakonice · 4-1 (W)
2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 4-2 (W)

Jiskra Domažlice II

2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-08T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 0-5 (L)
2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rokycany · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Petřín Plzeň	11	8	1	2	12	25
2	Spartak Pribram	10	7	2	1	19	23
3	Křimice	11	7	2	2	8	23
4	Hořovicko	11	6	2	3	5	20
5	Hluboka nad Vltavou	10	5	4	1	8	19
6	Komárov	10	5	4	1	7	19
7	Spartak Soběslav	10	5	2	3	6	17
8	Táborsko II	10	4	4	2	5	16
9	Doubravka	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Slavoj Český Krumlov	10	4	0	6	-6	12
11	Rokycany	10	3	1	6	-9	10
12	Strakonice	10	2	1	7	-14	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	10	2	0	8	-7	6
14	Nyrsko	10	1	1	8	-21	4
15	Milevsko	10	0	2	8	-12	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Petřín Plzeň win, at 71.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.