Egypt · Premier League · Relegation Group - 1117:00
PetrojetDWWLL

1 – 1

Sunday, 17 May 2026

Future FCWWWLW

Petrosport Stadium · Referee A. Gamal · Analysis updated 16:58 UTC

Petrojet vs Future FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Petrojet and 1.66 for Future FC, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives Future FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.66

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Petrojet home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Future FC away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Future FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 35% / 24% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Petrojet and 1.66 for Future FC, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Petrojet win35%
Draw24%
Future FC win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 2–26.6%

Recent form

Petrojet

  • 2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wadi Degla · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Gouna FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AL Masry · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Zamalek SC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs El Geish · 2-3 (L)

Future FC

  • 2026-08-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Gouna FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs El Mokawloon · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrojet · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC66001118
2Al Ahly6510816
3Zamalek SC6411513
4Future FC6411413
5Al Ittihad6411413
6Ceramica Cleopatra6402412
7National Bank of Egypt630309
8El Mokawloon622218
9Petrojet622208
10Masr6222-18
11Olympic El Qanah614107
12AL Masry6213-27
13Smouha SC6213-27
14El Geish6213-37
15Wadi Degla6132-16
16Asyut Petrol6123-35
17Enppi6114-44
18Abu Qair Semad6105-83
19El Gouna FC6024-42
20Ghazl El Mehalla6015-91

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.