Stadion Mitar Mico Golis · Analysis updated 16:21 UTC
Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Petrovac and 1.56 for Otrant-Olympic, a combined total of 2.76. That distribution gives Otrant-Olympic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Otrant-Olympic win
45.6% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Petrovac home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Otrant-Olympic away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Otrant-Olympic to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 29% / 25% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Petrovac and 1.56 for Otrant-Olympic, a combined 2.76 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–07.6%
Recent form
Petrovac
- 2026-10-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Otrant-Olympic · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kom · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost DG · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Buducnost Podgorica · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal Tivat · 1-2 (L)
Otrant-Olympic
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Tirana · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Jezero · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Mornar · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bokelj · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Buducnost Podgorica · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Sutjeska | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Buducnost Podgorica | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Mornar | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Dečić | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Bokelj | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Mladost DG | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Jezero | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Petrovac | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Otrant-Olympic win, at 45.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.