Petržalka vs Považská Bystrica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Petržalka and 1.40 for Považská Bystrica, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Petržalka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Petržalka home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Považská Bystrica away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Petržalka win45%

Draw24%

Považská Bystrica win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–110.7%
2–19.1%
1–07.7%
1–27.5%
2–06.5%

Recent form

Petržalka

2026-10-24T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-18T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava II · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Šamorín · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Malženice · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlaté Moravce · 2-0 (W)

Považská Bystrica

2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Zvolen · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-14T12:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Košice · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Galanta · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs MFK Bytča · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2025-11-08T12:00:00.000Z · Petržalka 1-2 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2025-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · Petržalka 1-0 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2025-03-30T08:30:00.000Z · Petržalka 1-1 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2024-08-31T14:30:00.000Z · Petržalka 1-3 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2024-03-16T13:30:00.000Z · Petržalka 1-2 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2023-08-27T08:30:00.000Z · Petržalka 0-1 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2023-03-04T13:00:00.000Z · Petržalka 1-1 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2022-08-07T08:30:00.000Z · Petržalka 2-1 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2020-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · Petržalka 3-1 Považská Bystrica (Cup)

2. liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Šamorín	14	10	2	2	11	32
2	Petržalka	14	9	3	2	13	30
3	Považská Bystrica	14	8	2	4	4	26
4	Pohronie	14	7	2	5	4	23
5	Galanta	14	7	2	5	0	23
6	Tatran Prešov	14	6	4	4	2	22
7	Žilina II	13	6	3	4	3	21
8	Inter Bratislava	13	5	5	3	12	20
9	Liptovský Mikuláš	14	5	4	5	3	19
10	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	14	5	4	5	-1	19
11	Slovan Bratislava II	13	4	4	5	2	16
12	Zlaté Moravce	13	3	4	6	-2	13
13	Malženice	13	3	3	7	-5	12
14	Humenné	14	3	3	8	-11	12
15	MFK Bytča	14	3	0	11	-22	9
16	Lokomotíva Zvolen	13	1	3	9	-13	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.