· Analysis updated 00:50 UTC
Petržalka W vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.78 expected goals for Petržalka W and 2.60 for Dukla Banská Bystrica W, a combined total of 6.38. That distribution gives Petržalka W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 94% for over 2.5 goals and 89% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Petržalka W win
59.8% probability
Expected goals
3.78 – 2.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Petržalka W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dukla Banská Bystrica W away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–25.2%
- 4–24.9%
- 3–34.5%
- 4–34.2%
- 2–24.1%
Recent form
Petržalka W
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov W · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava W · 1-11 (L)
Dukla Banská Bystrica W
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava W · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · Petržalka W 1-4 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · Petržalka W 6-0 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-04-26T09:00:00.000Z · Petržalka W 2-0 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
- 2025-03-08T08:00:00.000Z · Petržalka W 3-1 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
- 2024-09-28T16:30:00.000Z · Petržalka W 2-0 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
- 2023-11-04T16:00:00.000Z · Petržalka W 0-1 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
- 2023-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · Petržalka W 0-1 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
- 2023-02-25T10:00:00.000Z · Petržalka W 2-3 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
- 2022-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · Petržalka W 3-5 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
- 2022-05-22T15:00:00.000Z · Petržalka W 2-0 Dukla Banská Bystrica W (I Liga - Women)
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 27 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Komárno W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 | Tatran Prešov W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 13 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -28 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -36 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Petržalka W win, at 59.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 89% and over 2.5 goals at 94%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.