Pharco vs National Bank of Egypt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Pharco and 0.91 for National Bank of Egypt, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Pharco the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Pharco win

48.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Pharco home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
National Bank of Egypt away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pharco to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 27% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Pharco and 0.91 for National Bank of Egypt, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Pharco win48%

Draw27%

National Bank of Egypt win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%

Over 2.5 goals41%

Over 3.5 goals20%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

1–013.9%
1–112.7%
0–010.0%
2–09.7%
0–19.1%

Recent form

Pharco

2026-09-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Mega Sport · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs El Dakhleya · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-28T13:30:00.000Z · H vs El Mansura · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-21T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Proxy · 1-0 (W)

National Bank of Egypt

2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Wadi Degla · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs El Geish · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Future FC · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ceramica Cleopatra · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pyramids FC	7	7	0	0	14	21
2	Al Ahly	7	5	2	0	8	17
3	Zamalek SC	7	5	1	1	6	16
4	Ceramica Cleopatra	7	5	0	2	6	15
5	Future FC	7	4	1	2	3	13
6	Al Ittihad	7	4	1	2	3	13
7	El Mokawloon	7	3	2	2	4	11
8	Masr	7	3	2	2	0	11
9	National Bank of Egypt	7	3	1	3	0	10
10	Smouha SC	7	3	1	3	0	10
11	Olympic El Qanah	7	1	5	1	0	8
12	Petrojet	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	AL Masry	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Wadi Degla	7	1	4	2	-1	7
15	El Geish	7	2	1	4	-6	7
16	Asyut Petrol	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Enppi	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Ghazl El Mehalla	7	1	1	5	-8	4
19	Abu Qair Semad	7	1	1	5	-8	4
20	El Gouna FC	7	0	2	5	-6	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Pharco win, at 48.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.