· Analysis updated 09:57 UTC
Pho Hien vs Văn Hiến Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Pho Hien and 1.13 for Văn Hiến, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Pho Hien the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Pho Hien win
46.5% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pho Hien home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Văn Hiến away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pho Hien to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 26% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Pho Hien and 1.13 for Văn Hiến, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–17.9%
Recent form
Pho Hien
- 2026-06-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bắc Ninh · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-07T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Song Lam Nghe An · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-31T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hai Phong · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-22T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Viettel · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ha Noi · 0-4 (L)
Văn Hiến
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Binh Duong · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sanna Khanh Hoa · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-30T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dong Thap · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-24T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Binh Dinh · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-16T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bình Phước · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
V.League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thai Nguyen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Hung Yen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 |
| 3 | Sanna Khanh Hoa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Binh Duong | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Pho Hien | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Văn Hiến | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Dong Thap | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Than Quang Ninh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Binh Dinh | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Ho Chi Minh | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Lam Dong | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Bóng đá Huế | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 13 | Long An | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 | Xuan Thien Phu Tho | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pho Hien win, at 46.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.