· Analysis updated 10:44 UTC
Pirmasens vs Elversberg II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.70 expected goals for Pirmasens and 1.35 for Elversberg II, a combined total of 4.05. That distribution gives Pirmasens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pirmasens win
66.0% probability
Expected goals
2.70 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pirmasens home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Elversberg II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pirmasens to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 17% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.70 goals for Pirmasens and 1.35 for Elversberg II, a combined 4.05 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.7%
- 1–16.4%
- 2–06.4%
- 2–25.8%
Recent form
Pirmasens
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs TuS RW Koblenz · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Cosmos Koblenz · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FV Engers 07 · 6-3 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Emmelshausen-Karbach · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Schott Mainz · 1-2 (L)
Elversberg II
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TuS RW Koblenz · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Cosmos Koblenz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Schott Mainz · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FV Engers 07 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Emmelshausen-Karbach · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2023-03-04T13:00:00.000Z · Pirmasens 4-0 Elversberg II (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
- 2022-10-08T13:30:00.000Z · Pirmasens 3-0 Elversberg II (Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar)
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mechtersheim | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | Gonsenheim | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 25 |
| 4 | Pirmasens | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 24 |
| 5 | FV Engers 07 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | TuS Koblenz | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | Wormatia Worms | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
| 8 | RW Wittlich | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | TuS RW Koblenz | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| 10 | Gau-Odernheim | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Elversberg II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 | Hertha Wiesbach | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 | Auersmacher | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Cosmos Koblenz | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Ahrweiler | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | Diefflen | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -22 | 7 |
| 18 | Eisbachtal | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -39 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pirmasens win, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.