· Analysis updated 09:57 UTC
Pirmasens vs Gonsenheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Pirmasens and 1.95 for Gonsenheim, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Pirmasens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pirmasens win
52.3% probability
Expected goals
2.60 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pirmasens home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gonsenheim away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pirmasens to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 19% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.60 goals for Pirmasens and 1.95 for Gonsenheim, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.0%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.0%
- 3–25.9%
- 1–15.4%
Recent form
Pirmasens
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs TuS RW Koblenz · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Cosmos Koblenz · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FV Engers 07 · 6-3 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Emmelshausen-Karbach · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Schott Mainz · 1-2 (L)
Gonsenheim
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FV Engers 07 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Emmelshausen-Karbach · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Schott Mainz · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Eisbachtal · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-08T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Diefflen · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mechtersheim | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | Gonsenheim | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 25 |
| 4 | Pirmasens | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 24 |
| 5 | FV Engers 07 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | TuS Koblenz | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 7 | Wormatia Worms | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
| 8 | RW Wittlich | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | TuS RW Koblenz | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| 10 | Gau-Odernheim | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Elversberg II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 | Hertha Wiesbach | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 | Auersmacher | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Cosmos Koblenz | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Ahrweiler | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | Diefflen | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -22 | 7 |
| 18 | Eisbachtal | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -39 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pirmasens win, at 52.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.