Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 1312:00
Piteå WLDDLL

14

Sunday, 9 August 2026

Häcken WWWWWW

LF Arena · Referee G. Jansizian · Analysis updated 23:41 UTC

Piteå W vs Häcken W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for Piteå W and 2.30 for Häcken W, a combined total of 3.14. That distribution gives Häcken W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws roughly 30% of the time.

Model pick

Häcken W to Win

70.4% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.83 – 2.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Piteå W win12%
Draw18%
Häcken W win70%

Double chance 1X

30%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

88%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 0–211.5%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–38.8%
  • 1–18.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Häcken W away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Häcken W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 12% / 18% / 70% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.83 goals for Piteå W and 2.30 for Häcken W, a combined 3.14 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 51%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Piteå W

    Häcken W

    • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brommapojkarna W · 6-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 6-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-06-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård W · 2-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Damallsvenskan table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Häcken W1413013139
    2Hammarby W1311112534
    3Malmö FF W147431925
    4AIK W14734124
    5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
    6Vittsjö W14635021
    7Kristianstad W13535-318
    8Piteå W13436-515
    9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
    10Växjö W14428-614
    11Djurgården W14428-614
    12Norrköping W13265-312
    13Rosengård W14248-510
    14Uppsala W141310-306

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.