Finland · Ykkösliiga · Group Stage15:00
PK-35DWLDW

11

Saturday, 15 August 2026

Klubi-04DLLLW

Markku.fi Areena · Analysis updated 23:43 UTC

PK-35 vs Klubi-04 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.77 expected goals for PK-35 and 0.55 for Klubi-04, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives PK-35 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.

Model pick

PK-35 to Win

67.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.77 – 0.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

PK-35 win67%
Draw22%
Klubi-04 win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score35%

Correct score

  • 1–017.3%
  • 2–015.3%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 1–19.6%
  • 3–09.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Klubi-04 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates PK-35 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 22% / 11% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.77 goals for PK-35 and 0.55 for Klubi-04, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% and both teams to score at 35%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.

Recent form

PK-35

    Klubi-04

    • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · A vs EIF · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs KäPa · 2-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ykkösliiga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Kooteepee1913331342
    2PK-351911531738
    3Haka1911441837
    4JIPPO19874831
    5JäPS19919-828
    6EIF18729-623
    7MP18639-521
    8KäPa194411-1216
    9Klubi-04192710-913
    10SJK Akatemia192611-1612

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.