· Analysis updated 06:39 UTC
Plopeni vs Râmnicu Sărat Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Plopeni and 1.45 for Râmnicu Sărat, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Plopeni the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.8% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Plopeni home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Râmnicu Sărat away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Plopeni to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 24% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Plopeni and 1.45 for Râmnicu Sărat, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–16.7%
Recent form
Plopeni
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Râmnicu Sărat · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Pucioasa · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Voința Crevedia · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Blejoi · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Draganesti · 2-4 (L)
Râmnicu Sărat
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tunari · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs CSM Adjud · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Braniştea · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Oţelul II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Braila · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corona Braşov | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 23 |
| 2 | ACS Mediaş 2022 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Baicoi | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Olimpic Zărneşti | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Inter Sibiu | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Sepsi II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Valenii de Munte | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Săcele | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Tricolorul Breaza | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 4 |
| 11 | Carpati Covasna | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -27 | 1 |
| 12 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.