Podbrezová vs FK Košice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Podbrezová and 2.38 for FK Košice, a combined total of 4.73. That distribution gives FK Košice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

59.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.35 – 2.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Podbrezová home form
2 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
FK Košice away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Podbrezová win40%

Draw19%

FK Košice win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals85%

Over 3.5 goals69%

Both teams to score82%

Correct score

2–26.9%
1–25.9%
2–15.8%
2–35.5%
3–25.4%

Recent form

Podbrezová

2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Zemplín Michalovce · 4-1 (W)
2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-29T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Inter Bratislava · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Skalica · 1-0 (W)

FK Košice

2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Komárno · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava · 2-5 (L)
2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Harichovce · 7-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · Podbrezová 2-2 FK Košice (Super Liga)
2025-10-25T16:00:00.000Z · Podbrezová 4-2 FK Košice (Super Liga)
2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · Podbrezová 3-1 FK Košice (Super Liga)
2025-05-20T18:00:00.000Z · Podbrezová 2-2 FK Košice (Super Liga)
2025-04-26T16:00:00.000Z · Podbrezová 1-1 FK Košice (Super Liga)
2025-03-16T14:30:00.000Z · Podbrezová 0-1 FK Košice (Super Liga)
2024-11-10T14:30:00.000Z · Podbrezová 0-0 FK Košice (Super Liga)
2024-08-10T18:30:00.000Z · Podbrezová 0-3 FK Košice (Super Liga)
2024-02-17T14:00:00.000Z · Podbrezová 0-0 FK Košice (Super Liga)
2023-10-01T15:30:00.000Z · Podbrezová 5-3 FK Košice (Super Liga)

Super Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dunajska Streda	11	9	2	0	29	29
2	Spartak Trnava	12	6	4	2	10	22
3	Slovan Bratislava	11	6	3	2	14	21
4	Žilina	11	6	3	2	5	21
5	Podbrezová	12	5	2	5	-3	17
6	FK Košice	10	3	5	2	3	14
7	Zemplín Michalovce	12	4	2	6	-8	14
8	Dukla Banská Bystrica	12	4	2	6	-10	14
9	Skalica	12	2	4	6	-10	10
10	AS Trencin	11	2	3	6	-9	9
11	Ružomberok	12	2	3	7	-14	9
12	Komárno	12	0	7	5	-7	7

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 59.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.