· Referee M. Smolak · Analysis updated 14:40 UTC
Podbrezová vs Komárno Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Podbrezová and 1.42 for Komárno, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Podbrezová the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Podbrezová win
45.9% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.42
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Podbrezová home form
5 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Komárno away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Podbrezová to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 23% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Podbrezová and 1.42 for Komárno, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–27.3%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
Podbrezová
- 2026-09-29T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Inter Bratislava · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Skalica · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Komárno · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Spišská Nová Ves · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Žilina · 1-3 (L)
Komárno
- 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Podbrezová · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Novohrad Lučenec · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Skalica · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 23 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Žilina | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 9 | Skalica | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Komárno | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Ružomberok | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 | AS Trencin | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Podbrezová win, at 45.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.