Podvinci vs Fužinar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Podvinci and 2.58 for Fužinar, a combined total of 4.62. That distribution gives Fužinar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Fužinar win

50.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.04 – 2.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Podvinci home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fužinar away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fužinar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 31% / 19% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Podvinci and 2.58 for Fužinar, a combined 4.62 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Podvinci win31%

Draw19%

Fužinar win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%

Over 2.5 goals84%

Over 3.5 goals68%

Both teams to score80%

Correct score

2–26.8%
1–26.7%
2–35.9%
1–35.7%
2–15.3%

Recent form

Podvinci

2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Čarda Martjanci · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ljutomer · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rače · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Šmartno · 1-8 (L)
2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Korotan Prevalje · 2-0 (W)

Fužinar

2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Korotan Prevalje · 4-4 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs NK Ormoz · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hajdina · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šampion Celje · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-06T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Odranci · 3-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. SNL - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Odranci	10	8	2	0	18	26
2	Fužinar	10	6	1	3	10	19
3	NK Ormoz	10	6	1	3	6	19
4	Šmartno	10	6	1	3	5	19
5	Hajdina	10	4	4	2	3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	10	4	3	3	5	15
7	Videm	10	4	2	4	-2	14
8	Podvinci	10	4	2	4	-4	14
9	Rače	10	3	4	3	1	13
10	Korotan Prevalje	10	2	5	3	-1	11
11	Dobrovce	10	3	0	7	-12	9
12	Ljutomer	10	2	2	6	-4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	10	2	2	6	-13	8
14	Šampion Celje	10	1	1	8	-12	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Fužinar win, at 50.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.