Pohronie vs Považská Bystrica Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Pohronie and 3.00 for Považská Bystrica, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Považská Bystrica the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Považská Bystrica win

58.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 3.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Pohronie home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Považská Bystrica away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Pohronie win25%

Draw17%

Považská Bystrica win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%

Over 2.5 goals87%

Over 3.5 goals73%

Both teams to score82%

Correct score

1–26.1%
1–36.1%
2–26.1%
2–36.1%
1–44.5%

Recent form

Pohronie

2026-10-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Malženice · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlaté Moravce · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Humenné · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-25T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Inter Bratislava · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka · 0-1 (L)

Považská Bystrica

2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Zvolen · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-14T12:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Košice · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Galanta · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs MFK Bytča · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-07-31T15:00:00.000Z · Pohronie 2-1 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2026-06-19T15:00:00.000Z · Pohronie 2-0 Považská Bystrica (Friendlies Clubs)
2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · Pohronie 1-1 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2025-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · Pohronie 4-0 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2025-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · Pohronie 1-3 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2024-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · Pohronie 1-2 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2024-05-04T15:00:00.000Z · Pohronie 1-1 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2023-10-20T15:00:00.000Z · Pohronie 0-0 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2023-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · Pohronie 3-2 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)
2022-10-22T12:30:00.000Z · Pohronie 2-2 Považská Bystrica (2. liga)

2. liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Petržalka	13	9	3	1	14	30
2	Šamorín	13	9	2	2	10	29
3	Pohronie	13	7	2	4	5	23
4	Považská Bystrica	13	7	2	4	3	23
5	Galanta	13	7	1	5	0	22
6	Žilina II	13	6	3	4	3	21
7	Inter Bratislava	13	5	5	3	12	20
8	Liptovský Mikuláš	13	5	4	4	4	19
9	Tatran Prešov	13	5	4	4	-1	19
10	Slovan Bratislava II	13	4	4	5	2	16
11	Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Zlaté Moravce	13	3	4	6	-2	13
13	Malženice	13	3	3	7	-5	12
14	Humenné	13	3	2	8	-11	11
15	MFK Bytča	13	3	0	10	-19	9
16	Lokomotíva Zvolen	13	1	3	9	-13	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Považská Bystrica win, at 58.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.