· Analysis updated 12:53 UTC
Poland U17 vs Republic of Ireland U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.97 expected goals for Poland U17 and 1.20 for Republic of Ireland U17, a combined total of 4.18. That distribution gives Poland U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Poland U17 win
73.2% probability
Expected goals
2.97 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Republic of Ireland U17 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Poland U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 14% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.97 goals for Poland U17 and 1.20 for Republic of Ireland U17, a combined 4.18 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 66%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 3–18.1%
- 2–06.8%
- 3–06.7%
- 4–16.0%
Recent form
Poland U17
Republic of Ireland U17
- 2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Czechia U17 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Poland U17 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T17:30:00.000Z · A vs England U17 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-03-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovakia U17 · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-03-28T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Croatia U17 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Poland U17 win, at 73.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.