· Analysis updated 17:43 UTC
Poli Timisoara 2 vs CIL Blaj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Poli Timisoara 2 and 2.78 for CIL Blaj, a combined total of 4.05. That distribution gives CIL Blaj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
CIL Blaj win
68.7% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 2.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Poli Timisoara 2 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
CIL Blaj away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates CIL Blaj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 15% / 16% / 69% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.28 goals for Poli Timisoara 2 and 2.78 for CIL Blaj, a combined 4.05 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
31%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
85%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.6%
- 1–37.9%
- 0–26.7%
- 0–36.2%
- 1–16.2%
Recent form
Poli Timisoara 2
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viitorul Arad · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nera Bogodinţi · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Alba Iulia · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalurgistul Cugir · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii · 0-1 (L)
CIL Blaj
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetate Deva · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Poli Timisoara 2 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Arad · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nera Bogodinţi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Alba Iulia · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · Poli Timisoara 2 1-2 CIL Blaj (Liga III - Serie 7)
Liga III - Serie 7 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 23 |
| 2 | Timişul Şag | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cetate Deva | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | CIL Blaj | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Viitorul Arad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Unirea Sântana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Progresul Pecica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Poli Timisoara 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 7 |
| 11 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 12 | Nera Bogodinţi | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is CIL Blaj win, at 68.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.