· Analysis updated 20:03 UTC
Polonia Słubice vs FC Frankfurt Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.56 expected goals for Polonia Słubice and 1.30 for FC Frankfurt, a combined total of 3.86. That distribution gives Polonia Słubice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Polonia Słubice win
64.6% probability
Expected goals
2.56 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Polonia Słubice home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Frankfurt away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Polonia Słubice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 18% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.56 goals for Polonia Słubice and 1.30 for FC Frankfurt, a combined 3.86 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.0%
- 3–17.7%
- 1–17.0%
- 2–06.9%
- 3–05.9%
Recent form
Polonia Słubice
- 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kluczevia Stargard · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Fürstenwalde · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-07-15T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Frankfurt · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-11T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Mieszko Gniezno · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-01-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs BAK '07 · 1-3 (L)
FC Frankfurt
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Germania Halberstadt · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Einheit Rudolstadt · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eilenburg · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Sandersdorf · 0-8 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Polonia Słubice win, at 64.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.