· Analysis updated 00:32 UTC
Pompiers vs Tevragh-Zeïne Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.01 expected goals for Pompiers and 0.45 for Tevragh-Zeïne, a combined total of 1.46. That distribution gives Pompiers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 18% for over 2.5 goals and 23% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 24%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pompiers win
48.9% probability
Expected goals
1.01 – 0.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pompiers home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Tevragh-Zeïne away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pompiers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 35% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.01 goals for Pompiers and 0.45 for Tevragh-Zeïne, a combined 1.46 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
65%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–023.5%
- 0–023.3%
- 2–011.9%
- 1–110.5%
- 0–110.4%
Recent form
Pompiers
- 2026-05-25T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Chemal · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-18T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Nouakchott Academie · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SNIM · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-05T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Tevragh-Zeïne · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-09T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Inter Nouakchott · 3-1 (W)
Tevragh-Zeïne
- 2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs N'Zidane · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-24T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Ksar · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-20T16:45:00.000Z · H vs SNIM · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs N'Zidane · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-05T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Pompiers · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N'Zidane | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Police | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Pompiers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Gendrim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Armée | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | SNIM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Chemal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Nouadhibou | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nouakchott Academie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tevragh-Zeïne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Nouakchott King's | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kaédi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Kédia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | AC Douane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pompiers win, at 48.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 23% and over 2.5 goals at 18%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.