Romania · Liga II · Matchweek 608:00

08:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 05:58 UTC

Popești-Leordeni vs Bihor Oradea Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Popești-Leordeni and 1.17 for Bihor Oradea, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Popești-Leordeni the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Popești-Leordeni win

56.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.17

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Popești-Leordeni win57%
Draw22%
Bihor Oradea win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 3–16.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Popești-Leordeni to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 22% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Popești-Leordeni and 1.17 for Bihor Oradea, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

  • Model confidence

    The headline pick is rated 57% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 70/100 while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Popești-Leordeni

    Bihor Oradea

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.