Pors Stadion · Analysis updated 02:42 UTC
Pors Grenland vs Lysekloster Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.69 expected goals for Pors Grenland and 1.01 for Lysekloster, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Pors Grenland the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
Pors Grenland to Win
53.4% probability
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.6%
- 0–16.8%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pors Grenland to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 24% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.69 goals for Pors Grenland and 1.01 for Lysekloster, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
Pors Grenland to Win is the headline pick at 53% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Pors Grenland
Lysekloster
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Kvik Halden | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Træff | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Bjarg | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Sotra | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | Arendal | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 14 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -30 | 6 |
| 14 | Eik-Tønsberg | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | -22 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.