Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Group 1 - 1018:15

3 – 2

Friday, 9 October 2026

CoffraneLDWLL

· Analysis updated 15:04 UTC

Portalban / Gletterens vs Coffrane Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Portalban / Gletterens and 1.00 for Coffrane, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Portalban / Gletterens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Portalban / Gletterens win

46.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Portalban / Gletterens home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Coffrane away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Portalban / Gletterens to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 27% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.43 goals for Portalban / Gletterens and 1.00 for Coffrane, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Portalban / Gletterens win47%
Draw27%
Coffrane win27%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 1–012.6%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–08.8%

Recent form

Portalban / Gletterens

  • 2026-10-09T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Coffrane · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Payerne · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chênois · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Servette II · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Vevey Sports · 4-1 (W)

Coffrane

  • 2026-10-09T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Portalban / Gletterens · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Sion II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lancy · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prishtina Bern · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Azzurri Bienne · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Azzurri108021524
2Prishtina Bern107211823
3Servette II10541219
4Lausanne Sport II10451817
5Sion II10442316
6Portalban / Gletterens10424514
7Monthey10352214
8Naters10424-714
9Lancy10415-113
10Chênois10334-112
11Echallens10334-612
12Meyrin10325311
13Stade Payerne10316-710
14La Chaux-de-Fonds10316-1710
15Coffrane10145-47
16Vevey Sports10118-134

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Portalban / Gletterens win, at 46.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.