Portalban / Gletterens vs Lausanne Sport II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Portalban / Gletterens and 1.42 for Lausanne Sport II, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Portalban / Gletterens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.42

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Portalban / Gletterens home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lausanne Sport II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Portalban / Gletterens to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 24% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for Portalban / Gletterens and 1.42 for Lausanne Sport II, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Portalban / Gletterens win43%

Draw24%

Lausanne Sport II win34%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

1–111.0%
2–18.9%
1–27.8%
1–07.7%
0–16.8%

Recent form

Portalban / Gletterens

2026-10-09T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Coffrane · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Payerne · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chênois · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Servette II · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Vevey Sports · 4-1 (W)

Lausanne Sport II

2026-10-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Meyrin · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Servette II · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Echallens · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vevey Sports · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 5-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Azzurri Bienne	11	9	0	2	16	27
2	Prishtina Bern	11	8	2	1	22	26
3	Servette II	11	6	4	1	3	22
4	Lausanne Sport II	11	4	5	2	7	17
5	Naters	11	5	2	4	-6	17
6	Sion II	11	4	4	3	1	16
7	Portalban / Gletterens	10	4	2	4	5	14
8	Monthey	10	3	5	2	2	14
9	Chênois	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Lancy	11	4	1	6	-2	13
11	La Chaux-de-Fonds	11	4	1	6	-15	13
12	Echallens	11	3	3	5	-10	12
13	Meyrin	11	3	2	6	2	11
14	Stade Payerne	11	3	2	6	-7	11
15	Coffrane	10	1	4	5	-4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	1	1	8	-13	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.