· Analysis updated 23:44 UTC
Porto U19 vs Moreirense U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for Porto U19 and 0.68 for Moreirense U19, a combined total of 1.89. That distribution gives Porto U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
Porto U19 to Win
48.9% probability
Expected goals
1.21 – 0.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.2%
- 0–015.0%
- 1–112.4%
- 2–011.1%
- 0–110.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Porto U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 30% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.21 goals for Porto U19 and 0.68 for Moreirense U19, a combined 1.89 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 35%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.
Model confidence
Porto U19 to Win is the headline pick at 49% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Porto U19
Moreirense U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Júniores U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting Braga U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Porto U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Feirense U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Rio Ave U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Moreirense U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Vizela U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Famalicão U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting CP U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | SC Farense U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Oriental U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Casa Pia U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Mafra U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | União Leiria U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Benfica U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Torreense U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Alverca U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.