Antigua-And-Barbuda · Premier Division · Matchweek 1500:00

0 – 2

Sunday, 15 February 2026

· Analysis updated 17:47 UTC

Potters Tigers vs Attacking Saints Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.55 expected goals for Potters Tigers and 1.28 for Attacking Saints, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Potters Tigers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Potters Tigers win

65.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.55 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Potters Tigers home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Attacking Saints away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Potters Tigers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 18% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.55 goals for Potters Tigers and 1.28 for Attacking Saints, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Potters Tigers win65%
Draw18%
Attacking Saints win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 2–19.0%
  • 3–17.7%
  • 1–17.1%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 3–06.0%

Recent form

Potters Tigers

  • 2026-05-03T21:00:00.000Z · H vs All Saints United · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-11T20:15:00.000Z · A vs Pigotts Bullets · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-04-05T18:15:00.000Z · H vs John Hughes · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-03-29T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Green City · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-03-21T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Jennings United · 2-0 (W)

Attacking Saints

  • 2026-04-25T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Grenades · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-18T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Garden Stars · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-04T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Old Road · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-03-28T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Aston Villa · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-03-23T20:15:00.000Z · H vs John Hughes · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Aston Villa000000
2Green City000000
3All Saints United000000
4Hoppers000000
5Pigotts Bullets000000
6Garden Stars000000
7Grenades000000
8Freemansville000000
9Old Road000000
10Potters Tigers000000

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Potters Tigers win, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.