· Analysis updated 15:16 UTC
Potters Tigers vs Ottos Rangers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for Potters Tigers and 0.93 for Ottos Rangers, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Potters Tigers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Potters Tigers win
69.5% probability
Expected goals
2.38 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Potters Tigers home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Potters Tigers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 18% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.38 goals for Potters Tigers and 0.93 for Ottos Rangers, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 55%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
31%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.8%
- 3–08.2%
- 1–18.1%
Recent form
Potters Tigers
- 2026-05-03T21:00:00.000Z · H vs All Saints United · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-11T20:15:00.000Z · A vs Pigotts Bullets · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-05T18:15:00.000Z · H vs John Hughes · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-03-29T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Green City · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-03-21T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Jennings United · 2-0 (W)
Ottos Rangers
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Green City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | All Saints United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hoppers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Pigotts Bullets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Garden Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Grenades | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Freemansville | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Old Road | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Potters Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Potters Tigers win, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.