· Analysis updated 11:23 UTC
Považská Bystrica vs FK Košice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Považská Bystrica and 1.87 for FK Košice, a combined total of 3.59. That distribution gives FK Košice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.0% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.87
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Považská Bystrica home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FK Košice away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Košice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 36% / 22% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Považská Bystrica and 1.87 for FK Košice, a combined 3.59 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–35.2%
Recent form
Považská Bystrica
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Zvolen · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-14T12:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Košice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Prešov · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Galanta · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · H vs MFK Bytča · 4-1 (W)
FK Košice
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Komárno · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Harichovce · 7-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.