· Analysis updated 08:16 UTC
Power Dynamos vs Al Merreikh Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Power Dynamos and 0.93 for Al Merreikh, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Power Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
72.0% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Power Dynamos home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Power Dynamos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 29% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Power Dynamos and 0.93 for Al Merreikh, a combined 2.16 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.1%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–110.7%
- 2–08.7%
Recent form
Power Dynamos
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trident · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nchanga Rangers · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Konkola Blades · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Merreikh · 0-1 (L)
Al Merreikh
- 2026-09-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Amagaju · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Power Dynamos · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Power Dynamos · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gorilla · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-27T16:00:00.000Z · H vs APR · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 72.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.